GOAPP Publications

• Ajayamohan, R. S., W. J. Merryfield and V. V. Kharin 2010: Increasing trend of synoptic activity and its relationship with extreme rain events over central India. Journal of Climate , 23, 1004-1013.

• Alavi, N., G. Drewitt, A.A. Berg and W.J. Merryfield. 2011: Soil moisture initialization affects in the CCCMA AGCM3: Relationship of sub-seasonal climate forecast error to uncertainty in soil moisture initializations. Atmosphere-Ocean. In Press

• Alavi, N., A.A. Berg, J.S. Warland, G. Parkin, D. Verseghy and P. Bartlett, 2010: Assimilating soil moisture variability into the CLASS to improve latent heat flux estimation. Canadian Water Resources Journal. 35(2) 1-16.

• Ambadan, T. J., and Y. Tang, 2009: Sigma-point Kalman Filters for the assimilation of strongly nonlinear systems. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 66(2), 261-285.

• Bakalian, F., H. Ritchie, K. Thompson and W. Merryfield, 2010: Exploring Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling Using Principal Component and Redundancy Analysis, J. Climate, 23, 4926–4943. doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3388.1

• Bakalian, F., H. Ritchie, K. Thompson and W. Merryfield, 2011: Exploring Joint Data Assimilation in a Coupled Two-Layer State Space Model of the Atmosphere-Ocean System, Monthly Weather Review, under revision.

• Bakalian, F., H. Ritchie, K. Thompson and W. Merryfield, 2010: Exploring Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling Using Principal Component and Redundancy Analysis, Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, No. 18, p4962-4943.

• Bacon, S., P.G. Myers, B. Rudels and D.A. Sutherland, 2008: Accessing the inaccessible: Towards an understanding of subarctic shelf processes In "Arctic - Subarctic Ocean Fluxes: Defining the Role of the Northern Seas in Climate", R.R. Dickson, J. Meincke and P. Rhines (eds), Springer, 703-722.

• Barnier, B. L. Brodeau, J. Le Sommer, J-M Molines, T Penduff, S Theetten, A-M Treguier, G Madec, A Biastoch, C. Boning, J. Dengg, S. Gulev, R. Bourdalle Badie, J. Chanut, G. Garric, S. Anderson, A. Coward, B. de Cuevas, A. New, K. Haines, G. Smith, S. Drijhout, S. Hazeleger, C. Severijns and P.G. Myers, 2007: Eddy-Permitting Ocean Circulation Hindcasts Of Past Decades, Clivar Exchanges.

• Boer, G.J., 2011: The ratio of land/ocean temperture change under global warming. Accepted for publication in Climate Dynamics.

• Boer, G.J., 2010: A long timescale teleconnection pattern in the northern Atlantic and Pacific. Submitted to J. of Clim.

• Boer, G.J., 2011: Decadal potential predictability of twenty-first century climate. Clim. Dyn., 36, 1119-1133, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0747-9

• Boer, G.J., 2010: Decadal potential predictability of 21st century climate. Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0747-9.

• Boer, G.J., 2009: Climate trends in seasonal forecasts. Atmos-Ocean, 47, 123-138.

• Boer, G.J. and K. Hamilton, 2008: QBO influence on extratropical predictive skill. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0379-5.

• Boer, G. J., and S. J. Lambert, 2008: Multi-model decadal potential predictability of precipitation and temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L05706, doi:10.1029/2008GL033234.

• Cooke, M., E. Demirov, J. Zhu, 2011: A model study of the mechanisms of interannual sea-ice variability in the Labrador Sea. J. Geophys. Res, (under review)

• Deng, Z., Tang, Y., and G. Wang, 2010: Assimilation of Argo Temperature and Salinity Profiles using a bias-aware localized EnKF system for the Pacific Ocean. Ocean Modelling, 25, 187-205.

• Donohue, S. M. and M. W. Stacey. Simulation of Mixed Layer Depth in the Northeast Pacific Utilizing Spectral Nudging, 2011: J. Phys. Oceanogr.,41, 641-653; doi: 10.1175/2010JPO4499.1

• Donohue, S. M. and M. W. Stacey. Rossby waves in the northeast Pacific Ocean and their influence on the North Pacific Current. J. Phys. Oceanogr. (accepted) doi: 10.1175/2011JPO4463.1

• Donohue, S. M. and M. W. Stacey. Simulation of the 2001-2002 Anomalous Intrusion in the Northeast Pacific. J. Geophys. Res. (submitted)

• Finnis, J., W. Hsieh, H. Lin, W.J. Merryfield, 2011: Nonlinear post-processing of numerical seasonal climate forecasts. Submitted to Atmosphere-Ocean (20 May 2011)

• Foreman, M.G.G., W.R. Crawford, J.Y. Cherniawsky, J. Galbraith. 2008: Dynamic ocean topography for the Northeast Pacific and its continental margins. Submitted to Geophysical Research Letters.

• Fyfe, J. C., W.J. Merryfield, V. Kharin, G.J. Boer, W.-S. Lee, and K. von Salzen, 2011: Skillful predictions of decadal trends in global mean surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, to be submitted.

• Han, G., K. Ohashi, N. Chen and P. Myers, 2010: Decline and rebound of the Labrador Current 1993-2004: Monitoring ocean currents from altimetric and CTD data. Journal of Geophysical Research, in press

• He, Z., H. Ritchie, K. Thompson, F. Dupont and Y. Lu, 2011: Global Ocean Model Bias Correction via Spectral Nudging. (In preparation)

• Higginson, S., K. R. Thompson, and Y. Liu, 2009. Estimating ocean climatologies for short periods: A simple technique for removing the effect of eddies from temperature and salinity profiles. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19602, doi:10.1029/2009GL039647.

• Higginson, S., K. Thompson, J. Huang, M. Véronneau, and D. G. Wright, 2011: The mean surface circulation of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre: A comparison of estimates derived from new gravity and oceanographic measurements. J. Geophys. Res., 116, C08016, doi:10.1029/2010JC006877

• Holloway, G. and Z. Wang. 2009: Representing eddy stress in an Arctic Ocean model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, C06020, doi:10.1029/2008JC005169.

• Huang, A., Y R. Rao, and Y. Lu, 2010: Evaluation of a 3-D hydrodynamic model and atmospheric forecast forcing using observations in Lake Ontario. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C02004, doi:10.1029/2009JC005601.

• Huang, A., Y. R. Rao, Y. Lu, and J. Zhao, 2010: Hydrodynamic modelling of Lake Ontario: An intercomparison of three models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C12076, doi:10.1029/2010JC006269.

• Katavouta, A, and P.G. Myers, 2011: Sea Ice Data Assimilation for the Canadian East Coast, to be submitted to Atmosphere-Ocean, summer 2011

• Kharin, V. V., Q. Teng, F.W. Zwiers, G.J. Boer, J. Derome, J.-S. Fontecilla, 2009: Skill assessment of seasonal hindcasts from the Canadian Historical Forecast Project. Atmosphere-Ocean, 47, 204–223.

• Kharin, V., 2011: Statistical forecast adjustment with seasonally and spatially smoothed statistics. Submitted to the Journal of Climate. (Under revision.)

• Kharin, V, and M. Fyfe, 2010: Skill analysis of monthly and seasonal hindcasts over Canada derived from daily model output. PCIC report. (submitted).

• Koster, R. D., S. P. P. Mahanama,, T. J. Yamada, G. Balsamo, A. A. Berg, M. Boisserie, P. A. Dirmeyer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, G. Drewitt, C. T. Gordon, Z. Guo, J.-H. Jeong, D. M. Lawrence, W.-S. Lee, Z. Li, L. Luo, S. Malyshev, W. J. Merryfield, S. I. Seneviratne, T. Stanelle, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, F. Vitart, and E. F. Wood, 2010: Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L02402 doi:10.1029/2009GL041677

• Koster, R. D., S. P. P. Mahanama,, T. J. Yamada, G. Balsamo, A. A. Berg, M. Boisserie, P. A. Dirmeyer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, G. Drewitt, C. T. Gordon, Z. Guo, J.-H. Jeong, W.-S. Lee, Z. Li,, L. Luo, S. Malyshev, W. J. Merryfield, S. I. Seneviratne, T. Stanelle, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, F. Vitart, and E. F. Wood, 2011: The second phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill. Journal of Hydrometeorology, doi: 10.1175/2011JHM1365.1.

• Koster, R. D., S. P. P. Mahanama,, T. J. Yamada, G. Balsamo, A. A. Berg, M. Boisserie, P. A. Dirmeyer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, G. Drewitt, C. T. Gordon, Z. Guo, J.-H. Jeong, W.-S. Lee, Z. Li, L. Luo, S. Malyshev, W. J. Merryfield, S. I. Seneviratne, T. Stanelle, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, F. Vitart, and E. F. Wood, 2011: The second phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill. Journal of Hydrometeorology, in press.

• Kulan, N. and P.G. Myers, 2009: Comparing Two Climatologies of the Labrador Sea: Geopotential vs. Isopyncal, Atmosphere-Ocean, 47, 19-39.

• Lago, V. and P.G. Myers, 2011: The role of resolution on understanding the impact of Greenland melt on ocean general circulation models of the sub-polar gyre, to be submitted to Atmosphere-Ocean, summer 2011

• Lienert, F., J.C. Fyfe, and W.J. Merryfield, 2011: Do climate models capture the tropical influences on North Pacific sea surface temperature? Journal of Climate (in press).

• Lin, H., G. Brunet and J. Derome, 2008: Seasonal forecasts of Canadian winter precipitation by post-processing GCM integrations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 769-783.

• Liu Y. and K.R. Thompson, 2009: Predicting Mesoscale Variability of the North Atlantic Using a Physically Motivated Scheme for Assimilating Altimeter and Argo Observations, Monthly Weather Review, 137, Issue 7, pp. 2223-2237.

• Lu, Y., S. Nudds, F. Dupont, M. Dunphy, C. Hannah, and S. Prinsenberg, 2010: High-resolution modelling of ocean and sea-ice conditions in the Canadian Arctic coastal waters. Proceeding of ISOPE 2010 Conference, Beijing, China

• Lu, Y., D. Wright, F. Dupont, Z. Wang, M. Dunphy, C. Hannah, and B. Topliss, 2009: Large-scale ocean modelling for operational and climate applications. BIO-2009 in Review, 14-16.

• Lu: Zhou, Y., K.R. Thompson, and Y. Lu, 2011: Mapping the relationship between northern hemisphere winter surface temperature and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review, in press.

• Lu, Y., S. Nudds, F. Dupont, M. Dunphy, C. Hannah, and S. Prinsenberg, 2010: High resolution modelling of ocean and sea-ice conditions in the Canadian Arctic coastal waters. ISOPE 2010, Beijing, China.

• Lu, Y., D.G. Wright, F. Dupont, Z. Wang, M. Dunphy, C. Hannah and B. Topliss, 2010: Large-scale ocean modelling for operational and climate applications. Submitted for publication in the 2010 BIO Annual Review.

• Lundrigan, S. and E. Demirov, 2011: Longterm variability of volume and heat transport in the Nordic Seas: a model study. Atmosphere-Ocean, (under review)

• Meehl, G.A. L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R.J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M.A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1467-1485.

• Merryfield, W. J., W.-S. Lee, G. J. Boer, V. V. Kharin, B. Pal, J. F. Scinocca and G. M. Flato, 2010: The first Coupled Historical Forecasting Project (CHFP1). Atmosphere-Ocean, 48, 263-283

• Merryfield, W. J., W.-S. Lee, G. J. Boer, V. V. Kharin, J. F. Scinocca and G. M. Flato, 2011: The Second Coupled Historical Forecasting Project (CHFP2): I. Models and Initialization. (To be submitted to Monthly Weather Review)

• Myers, P.G. and N. Kulan, 2011: Changes in the Deep Western Boundary Current at 53N. Submitted to the Journal of Physical Oceanography

• Myers, P.G. and N. Kulan, 2011: Variability of Labrador Sea Water Formation using an Instantaneous Kinematic Approach, submitted to the Journal of Geophysical Research.

• Merryfield, W. J., W.-S. Lee, G. J. Boer, V. V. Kharin, B. Pal, J. F. Scinocca and G. M. Flato, 2008: The first Coupled Historical Forecasting Project (CHFP1). Atmosphere-Ocean, submitted.

• Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson, 2011: Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, C02019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006596.

• Oliver, E. and K. R. Thompson, 2011: A reconstruction of MJO Variability from 1905 to 2008. Journal of Climate. Responding to reviewers comments

• Oliver, E. C. J., and K. R. Thompson, 2010: Madden-Julian Oscillation and sea level: Local and remote forcing, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C01003

• Rattan, S., P.G. Myers, A-M. Treguier, S. Theetten, A. Biastoch and C. Boening, 2010: Towards an Understanding of Labrador Sea Salinity Drift in Eddy-Permitting Simulations. Ocean Modelling, 35, 77-88

• Tang, Y. and B. Yu, 2008: An analysis of nonlinear relationship between the MJO and ENSO. J. Japan Met. Soc., 86(6), 867-881.

• Tang, Y. and Deng, Z., 2010: Tropical Pacific upper ocean heat content variations and ENSO predictability during the period from 1881-2000. Advance in Geosciences (Ocean Science), 18, 87-108.

• Tang, Y and J. Ambadan, 2009: Reply to comment on "Sigma-point Kalman Filters for the assimilation of strongly nonlinear systems". Journal of Atmospheric Science, 66(11), 3501-3503

• Shabbar, A., and V. V. Kharin, 2007: An assessment of cross validation for estimating skill of empirical seasonal forecasts using a global coupled model simulation. CLIVAR Exchanges, 12, 10-12.

• Stockdale, T., O. Alves, G.J. Boer, et al., 2009: Understanding and predicting seasonal to interannual climate variability. Third World Climate Conference (WCC3) White Paper World Climate Conference-3 (WCC3), White Paper, Published in the open-access online Conference Proceedings.

• Tang, Y. and B. Yu, 2008: MJO and its relationship to ENSO. J Geophys Res,doi:10.1029/2007JD009230.

• Tang, Y and J. Ambadan, 2009: Reply to comment on "Sigma-point Kalman Filters for the assimilation of strongly nonlinear systems". J. Atmos. Sci., Vol 66(11), 3501-3503

• Tang, Y. and Deng, Z., 2010: Tropical Pacific upper ocean heat content variations and ENSO predictability during the period from 1881-2000. Advance in Geosciences (Ocean Science), Vol 18, 87-108

• Tang, Y and J. Ambadan, 2009: Reply to comment on "Sigma-point Kalman Filters for the assimilation of strongly nonlinear systems". J. Atmos. Sci., Vol 66(11), 3501-3503

• Thompson, K.R., J. Huang, M. Véronneau, D. G. Wright, and Y. Lu, 2009: Mean surface topography of the northwest Atlantic: Comparison of estimates based on satellite, terrestrial gravity, and oceanographic observations. J. Geophys. Res., 114, C07015, doi:10.1029/2008JC004859

• Thompson, K., Y. Liu, 2008: Predicting Mesoscale Variability of the North Atlantic Using a Physically-Motivated Scheme for Assimilating Altimeter and Argo Observations, Submitted to Mon. Wea. Rev.

• Thompson, K.R., J. Huang, M. Véronneau, D. G. Wright, and Y. Lu, 2009. Mean surface topography of the northwest Atlantic: Comparison of estimates based on satellite, terrestrial gravity, and oceanographic observations. J. Geophys. Res., 114, C07015, doi:10.1029/2008JC004859

• Urrego-Blanco, J. and J, Sheng, 2011: Numerical Investigation of Interannual Variability of Circulation and Hydrography over the Eastern Canadian Continental Shelf. Submitted to Atmosphere-Ocean

• Wakamatsu, T., M. Foreman, P. Cummins and J. Cherniawsky, 2008: On the influence of random wind stress errors on the four dimensional, mid-latitude ocean inverse problem. Mon. Wea. Rev, 137, 1844-1862.

• Wakamatsu T. and M. Foreman, 2011, Overview of variational data assimilation and the structure of its analysis. Proceedings of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (peer reviewed), submitted.

• Wang, Z., Y. Lu, D. Wright, and F. Dupont, 2010: Sea ice sensitivity to the parameterization of open water area. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 3(2), 3-9.

• Wang, Z., G. Holloway and C. Hannah, 2011: Effects of parameterized eddy stress on volume, heat and freshwater transports through Fram Strait. Journal of Geophysical Research, in press.

• Wang, Z., Y. Lu, D.G. Wright and F. Dupont. 2010: Sea ice sensitivity to the parameterization of open water area. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 3(2), 1-7.

• Wang, Z., Y. Lu, F. Dupont, J. Loder, C. Hannah and D. Wright, 2011: Variations of sea surface height and circulation in the North Atlantic: Forcing mechanism and linkages. To be submitted.

• Xiaoqing, Y., and Y. Tang, 2011: An analysis of multi-mode ensemble for seasonal climate predictions. Submitted to the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Met. Soc. (under review)

• Yang, D. and P.G. Myers, 2007. Impact of extended NAO buoyancy forcing on the subpolar North Atlantic and climate variability over the last millennium. Paleoceanography, Vol. 22, PA3104, doi:10.1029/2007PA001439

• Yu, B., G.J. Boer and F. Zwiers, 2010: Surface heat flux feedback and SST variability. To be published in a book collection by the China Meteorological Press.

• Yu, B., G. J. Boer, F. W. Zwiers and W. J. Merryfield, 2010: Covariability of SST and surface heat fluxes in reanalyses and CMIP3 climate models. Climate Dyn., 36, 589-605.

• Yu, B., G.J. Boer, F. Zwiers, W. Merryfield, 2009: Covariability of SST and surface heat fluxes in reanalyses and CMIP3 climate models. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0669-6

• Zhang, X., Y. Lu, K.R. Thompson, J. Jiang, and H. Ritchie, 2010: The tropical Pacific Ocean and the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Role of wind and buoyancy forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C05022, doi:10.1029/2009JC005734.

• Zhang, Y., J. Zhu, E. Demirov, 2011: Model simulation of sub-polar ocean driven by high resolution atmospheric forcing; (In preparation)

• Zhang, X., Y. Lu and K. R. Thompson, 2009: Sea level variations in the tropical Pacific Ocean and the Madden Julian Oscillation. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 39, 1984 - 1992.

• Zhou, X. , and Tang, Y., 2010: Singular vectors and ENSO predictability. Advance in Geosciences (Atmospheric Science), 16, 110-120.

• Zhou, Y., K. R. Thompson, and Y. Lu, 2011: Mapping the relationship between northern hemisphere winter surface temperature and the Madden Julian Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review. In press.

• Zhu, J., E. Demirov, F. Dupont, and D. Wright, 2010: Eddy-permitting simulations of the sub-polar North Atlantic: impact of the model bias on water mass properties. Ocean Dyn., (6), 1177-1192, DOI 10.1007/s10236-010-0320-4

• Zhu, J. and E. Demirov, 2011: On the mechanism of interannual variability of the Irminger Water in the Labrador Sea. J. Geophys. Res, Vol. 116, C03014, doi:10.1029/2009JC005677

• Zhu, J., E. Demirov, I. Yahsayaev, Model Study of the Spreading Pathways and Transit Times of the Labrador Sea Water Produced in Different Convection Regimes. J. Geophys. Res (under revision)